🏟 Sports market pick · 2026-10-24

Kansas State vs. Arizona State Prediction & Pick: Kansas State to Win

BUY Kansas State (CFB: KSU @ ASU, Sat Oct 24 3:45 PM ET)

🏟 Today53D5 score

CFB: KSU @ ASU, Sat Oct 24 3:45 PM ET

Kansas State52%

Arizona State48%

⏱ KickoffKANST @ ARZSTSat 3:45 PM ET · in 5h 40m

BUYKansas State

Entry50.5¢

Live51.5¢

Today▲ +1.98%

Since pick▲ +1.98%

CredConsEdgeR/R

edge +0.7 pts vs DraftKings · source hit 55% · 0 agree · 0 dissent

🪙 Coin flipfair price, no edge on the books Polymarket is within 2 pts of DraftKings' no-vig line (+0.7 pts), so the price is fair: a coin flip at the market's own odds, with no edge on the books. Our settled coin flip picks: 11-8, -0.61% avg.

📒 Line at publish Kansas State −120 / Arizona State +100 → no-vig 52.2% vs Polymarket 51.5¢ +0.7 ptsDraftKings · at publish ↗

Why BUY: Coin flip at a fair price: Polymarket 50.5¢ vs ~52.2% no-vig at DraftKings (-120); only 1.7 pts of edge, under our 2-pt bar.

Polymarket ↗Share Details →

Pick details

Published: 2026-10-24 in that day's edition
Entry: 50.5¢
Status: Open · live
Value verdict: 🪙 Coin flip Polymarket is within 2 pts of DraftKings' no-vig line (+0.7 pts), so the price is fair: a coin flip at the market's own odds, with no edge on the books. Our settled coin flip picks: 11-8, -0.61% avg.
Sportsbook check: DraftKings · at publish ↗: Kansas State −120 (54.5% implied), Arizona State +100 (50.0%). The 4.5% vig comes out, so the no-vig fair chance is 52.2%. Polymarket now: 51.5¢, edge +0.7 pts (Polymarket and the books agree). Edge score 13.3/25 = 12.5 + 1.25 × points.
Source: Polymarket

All picks on CFB: KSU @ ASU →
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Since our pick

When we published on Oct 24, Polymarket priced Kansas State at 50.5¢, a 50.5% implied chance. It's now 51.5¢ (51.5%), up 1.0¢ since the pick. Range since the pick: 50.5¢ to 51.5¢.

Source: Polymarket CLOB price history, updated Oct 24, 10:03 AM ET.

Who will win Kansas State vs. Arizona State?

The Daily Five's pick is Kansas State to win, bought at 50.5¢ on Polymarket on Oct 24. Why: Coin flip at a fair price: Polymarket 50.5¢ vs ~52.2% no-vig at DraftKings (-120); only 1.7 pts of edge, under our 2-pt bar.

What are the Kansas State vs. Arizona State odds now?

When we published on Oct 24, Polymarket priced Kansas State at 50.5¢, a 50.5% implied chance. It's now 51.5¢ (51.5%), up 1.0¢ since the pick. Range since the pick: 50.5¢ to 51.5¢.

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Kansas State vs. Arizona State Prediction & Pick: Kansas State to Win

Pick details

Since our pick

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