🏟 Sports market pick · 2026-10-22

Packers vs. Lions Prediction & Pick: Packers to Win

BUY Packers (Week 7: GB @ DET, Sun Oct 25 4:25 PM ET)

🏟 Event Oct 2564D5 score
Week 7: GB @ DET, Sun Oct 25 4:25 PM ET
Packers38%
Lions62%
⏱ KickoffGB @ DETSun 4:25 PM ET · in 3d 9h
BUYPackers
Entry37.5¢
Live37.5¢
Today■ +0.00%
Since pick■ +0.00%
CredConsEdgeR/R

edge +2.5 pts vs DraftKings · source hit 64% · 1 agree · 0 dissent

💰 Valuecheaper than the books Polymarket is 2.5 pts under DraftKings' no-vig line (40.0% fair vs 37.5¢). That's the price gap we look for. Our settled value picks: 1-1, +40.85% avg.

📒 Books now GB +140 / DET −166 → no-vig 40.0% vs Polymarket 37.5¢ +2.5 ptsDraftKings via ESPN · Oct 22 7:23 AM ET ↗

Why BUY: Value: Green Bay has slipped to 37.5¢ (we first bought at 39¢ Tuesday) while DraftKings +140 is still ~40% no-vig.

Pick details

Published
2026-10-22 in that day's edition
Entry
37.5¢
Status
Open · live
Value verdict
💰 Value Polymarket is 2.5 pts under DraftKings' no-vig line (40.0% fair vs 37.5¢). That's the price gap we look for. Our settled value picks: 1-1, +40.85% avg.
Sportsbook check
DraftKings via ESPN · Oct 22 7:23 AM ET ↗: GB +140 (41.7% implied), DET −166 (62.4%). The 4.1% vig comes out, so the no-vig fair chance is 40.0%. Polymarket now: 37.5¢, edge +2.5 pts (Polymarket is cheaper than the books). Edge score 15.7/25 = 12.5 + 1.25 × points.
Line at publish
DraftKings · at publish ↗: Packers +140 / Lions −166, no-vig 40.0%.
Source
Polymarket

All picks on Week 7: GB @ DET →
Full track record →

Since our pick

When we published on Oct 22, Polymarket priced Packers at 37.5¢, a 37.5% implied chance. It's now 37.5¢ (37.5%), unchanged since the pick.

Source: Polymarket CLOB price history, updated Oct 22, 7:23 AM ET.

Who will win Packers vs. Lions?

The Daily Five's pick is Packers to win, bought at 37.5¢ on Polymarket on Oct 22. Why: Value: Green Bay has slipped to 37.5¢ (we first bought at 39¢ Tuesday) while DraftKings +140 is still ~40% no-vig.

What are the Packers vs. Lions odds now?

When we published on Oct 22, Polymarket priced Packers at 37.5¢, a 37.5% implied chance. It's now 37.5¢ (37.5%), unchanged since the pick.

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