🏟 Sports market pick · 2026-10-23

Packers vs. Lions Prediction & Pick: Packers to Win

BUY Packers (Week 7: GB @ DET, Sun Oct 25 4:25 PM ET)

🏟 Event Oct 2562D5 score
Week 7: GB @ DET, Sun Oct 25 4:25 PM ET
Packers38%
Lions62%
⏱ KickoffGB @ DETSun 4:25 PM ET · in 2d 9h
BUYPackers
Entry37.5¢
Live37.5¢
Today■ +0.00%
Since pick■ +0.00%
CredConsEdgeR/R

edge +2.1 pts vs DraftKings · source hit 59% · 1 agree · 0 dissent

💰 Valuecheaper than the books Polymarket is 2.1 pts under DraftKings' no-vig line (39.6% fair vs 37.5¢). That's the price gap we look for. Our settled value picks: 1-2, -6.10% avg.

📒 Books now GB +142 / DET −170 → no-vig 39.6% vs Polymarket 37.5¢ +2.1 ptsDraftKings via ESPN · Oct 23 7:09 AM ET ↗

Why BUY: Value: Green Bay is still 37.5¢ while DraftKings +142 makes it ~39.6% no-vig, still a 2-point discount, as on Thursday.

Pick details

Published
2026-10-23 in that day's edition
Entry
37.5¢
Status
Open · live
Value verdict
💰 Value Polymarket is 2.1 pts under DraftKings' no-vig line (39.6% fair vs 37.5¢). That's the price gap we look for. Our settled value picks: 1-2, -6.10% avg.
Sportsbook check
DraftKings via ESPN · Oct 23 7:09 AM ET ↗: GB +142 (41.3% implied), DET −170 (63.0%). The 4.3% vig comes out, so the no-vig fair chance is 39.6%. Polymarket now: 37.5¢, edge +2.1 pts (Polymarket is cheaper than the books). Edge score 15.2/25 = 12.5 + 1.25 × points.
Line at publish
DraftKings · at publish ↗: Packers +142 / Lions −170, no-vig 39.6%.
Source
Polymarket

All picks on Week 7: GB @ DET →
Full track record →

Since our pick

When we published on Oct 23, Polymarket priced Packers at 37.5¢, a 37.5% implied chance. It's now 37.5¢ (37.5%), unchanged since the pick. Range since the pick: 37.5¢ to 37.5¢.

entry 37.5¢now 37.5¢Fri 7 AMFri 7 AMFri 7 AMFri 7 AM

Source: Polymarket CLOB price history, updated Oct 23, 7:09 AM ET.

Who will win Packers vs. Lions?

The Daily Five's pick is Packers to win, bought at 37.5¢ on Polymarket on Oct 23. Why: Value: Green Bay is still 37.5¢ while DraftKings +142 makes it ~39.6% no-vig, still a 2-point discount, as on Thursday.

What are the Packers vs. Lions odds now?

When we published on Oct 23, Polymarket priced Packers at 37.5¢, a 37.5% implied chance. It's now 37.5¢ (37.5%), unchanged since the pick. Range since the pick: 37.5¢ to 37.5¢.

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