🏟 Sports market pick · 2026-10-22

Trail Blazers vs. Kings Prediction & Pick: Kings to Win

BUY Kings (NBA: POR @ SAC, Fri Oct 23 10 PM ET)

🏟 Event Oct 2362D5 score
NBA: POR @ SAC, Fri Oct 23 10 PM ET
Trail Blazers72%
Kings28%
⏱ Tip-offPOR @ SACFri 10:00 PM ET · in 38h 36m
BUYKings
Entry27.5¢
Live27.5¢
Today▼ -9.84%
Since pick■ +0.00%
CredConsEdgeR/R

edge +3.4 pts vs DraftKings · source hit 64% · 0 agree · 1 dissent

💰 Valuecheaper than the books Polymarket is 3.4 pts under DraftKings' no-vig line (30.9% fair vs 27.5¢). That's the price gap we look for. Our settled value picks: 1-1, +40.85% avg.

📒 Books now SAC +210 / POR −258 → no-vig 30.9% vs Polymarket 27.5¢ +3.4 ptsDraftKings via ESPN · Oct 22 7:23 AM ET ↗

Why BUY: Value: DraftKings +210 makes Sacramento ~30.9% no-vig and Kalshi has ~31%, both above 27.5¢ here; HoopVantage's model says 28.5%.

Pick details

Published
2026-10-22 in that day's edition
Entry
27.5¢
Status
Open · live
Value verdict
💰 Value Polymarket is 3.4 pts under DraftKings' no-vig line (30.9% fair vs 27.5¢). That's the price gap we look for. Our settled value picks: 1-1, +40.85% avg.
Sportsbook check
DraftKings via ESPN · Oct 22 7:23 AM ET ↗: SAC +210 (32.3% implied), POR −258 (72.1%). The 4.3% vig comes out, so the no-vig fair chance is 30.9%. Polymarket now: 27.5¢, edge +3.4 pts (Polymarket is cheaper than the books). Edge score 16.8/25 = 12.5 + 1.25 × points.
Line at publish
DraftKings · at publish ↗: Kings +210 / Trail Blazers −258, no-vig 30.9%.
Source
Polymarket

All picks on NBA: POR @ SAC →
Full track record →

Since our pick

When we published on Oct 22, Polymarket priced Kings at 27.5¢, a 27.5% implied chance. It's now 27.5¢ (27.5%), unchanged since the pick.

Source: Polymarket CLOB price history, updated Oct 22, 7:23 AM ET.

Who will win Trail Blazers vs. Kings?

The Daily Five's pick is Kings to win, bought at 27.5¢ on Polymarket on Oct 22. Why: Value: DraftKings +210 makes Sacramento ~30.9% no-vig and Kalshi has ~31%, both above 27.5¢ here; HoopVantage's model says 28.5%.

What are the Trail Blazers vs. Kings odds now?

When we published on Oct 22, Polymarket priced Kings at 27.5¢, a 27.5% implied chance. It's now 27.5¢ (27.5%), unchanged since the pick.

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