🏟 Sports market pick · 2026-10-22

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick: Grizzlies to Win

BUY Grizzlies (NBA: MEM @ GSW, Fri Oct 23 10 PM ET)

🏟 Event Oct 2360D5 score

NBA: MEM @ GSW, Fri Oct 23 10 PM ET

Grizzlies40%

Warriors60%

⏱ Tip-offMEM @ GSWFri 10:00 PM ET · in 38h 36m

BUYGrizzlies

Entry39.0¢

Live39.5¢

Today▲ +14.49%

Since pick▲ +1.28%

CredConsEdgeR/R

edge +2.2 pts vs DraftKings · source hit 64% · 1 agree · 1 dissent

💰 Valuecheaper than the books Polymarket is 2.2 pts under DraftKings' no-vig line (41.7% fair vs 39.5¢). That's the price gap we look for. Our settled value picks: 1-1, +40.85% avg.

📒 Books now MEM +130 / GS −155 → no-vig 41.7% vs Polymarket 39.5¢ +2.2 ptsDraftKings via ESPN · Oct 22 7:23 AM ET ↗

Why BUY: Value: DraftKings +130 is ~41.7% no-vig vs 39¢ here; Golden State is without Butler, Moody and Porzingis, and Curry is day to day.

Polymarket ↗Share Details →

Pick details

Published: 2026-10-22 in that day's edition
Entry: 39.0¢
Status: Open · live
Value verdict: 💰 Value Polymarket is 2.2 pts under DraftKings' no-vig line (41.7% fair vs 39.5¢). That's the price gap we look for. Our settled value picks: 1-1, +40.85% avg.
Sportsbook check: DraftKings via ESPN · Oct 22 7:23 AM ET ↗: MEM +130 (43.5% implied), GS −155 (60.8%). The 4.3% vig comes out, so the no-vig fair chance is 41.7%. Polymarket now: 39.5¢, edge +2.2 pts (Polymarket is cheaper than the books). Edge score 15.3/25 = 12.5 + 1.25 × points.
Line at publish: DraftKings · at publish ↗: Grizzlies +130 / Warriors −155, no-vig 41.7%.
Source: Polymarket

All picks on NBA: MEM @ GSW →
Full track record →

Since our pick

When we published on Oct 22, Polymarket priced Grizzlies at 39¢, a 39.0% implied chance. It's now 39.5¢ (39.5%), up 0.5¢ since the pick.

Source: Polymarket CLOB price history, updated Oct 22, 7:23 AM ET.

Who will win Grizzlies vs. Warriors?

The Daily Five's pick is Grizzlies to win, bought at 39¢ on Polymarket on Oct 22. Why: Value: DraftKings +130 is ~41.7% no-vig vs 39¢ here; Golden State is without Butler, Moody and Porzingis, and Curry is day to day.

What are the Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds now?

When we published on Oct 22, Polymarket priced Grizzlies at 39¢, a 39.0% implied chance. It's now 39.5¢ (39.5%), up 0.5¢ since the pick.

More Fri 10 PM ET kickoff picks

BUY Jazz · NOP @ UTA · 2026-10-22 ■ +0.00%BUY Spurs · HOU @ SAS · 2026-10-21 ▲ +1.46%BUY Clippers · LAC @ LAL · 2026-10-22 ■ +0.00%BUY Kings · POR @ SAC · 2026-10-22 ■ +0.00%

All picks by day →

Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction & Pick: Grizzlies to Win

Pick details

Since our pick

More Fri 10 PM ET kickoff picks

Five ideas. Every morning. Free.