BUY Patriots (Week 7 TNF: NE @ CHI, Thu Oct 22 8:15 PM ET)
edge +1 pts vs books · source hit 63% · 1 agree · 0 dissent
Why BUY: The NY Post backs New England (+3.5), which rates better than Chicago by DVOA; bet365's +139 is ~40% no-vig vs 39.5¢.
When we published on Oct 20, Polymarket priced Patriots at 39.5¢, a 39.5% implied chance. It's now 39.5¢ (39.5%), unchanged since the pick. Range since the pick: 39.5¢ to 39.5¢.
Source: Polymarket CLOB price history, updated Oct 20, 7:26 AM ET.
The Daily Five's pick is Patriots to win, bought at 39.5¢ on Polymarket on Oct 20. Why: The NY Post backs New England (+3.5), which rates better than Chicago by DVOA; bet365's +139 is ~40% no-vig vs 39.5¢.
When we published on Oct 20, Polymarket priced Patriots at 39.5¢, a 39.5% implied chance. It's now 39.5¢ (39.5%), unchanged since the pick. Range since the pick: 39.5¢ to 39.5¢.
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