⏱ 3 Month65D5 score
BUYGD
Entry$372.59
Live$372.59
Today▼ -1.02%
Since pick■ +0.00%
+11% vs analyst target · new source · 3 agree · 1 dissent
Buy and hold 3 months · entry $372.59 · target $413.45 · graded vs the S&P 500 at Feb 1
Why BUY: Beat and raise, record $220.3B backlog after 14 new subs, Jefferies to $455; ~20x forward earnings, above its 50-day.
⚠ Defense budgets can swing with Tuesday's midterms, and RBC and Bernstein cut targets to ~$360 last month on shipyard costs.
📅 Catalyst watchGeneral Dynamics earnings (Q4 2026, expected)Wed Jan 27 before the open · in 86 days
✅ Right if
- Gulfstream deliveries and shipyard hours keep climbing, as the CEO said on Friday's call
- The raised 2026 outlook ($17.20 to $17.30 a share) holds or gets beaten
- GD beats the S&P 500 from $372.59 by early February (that's the actual grade)
❌ Wrong if
- Midterm results put the defense budget on the chopping block
- Submarine or Gulfstream supply-chain snags come back
- The AI trade rips higher and leaves boring winners behind
Max Edge: Everybody's panicking about AI capex. I'm buying a company that builds submarines and private jets. One of these is a lot harder to vibe-code.