🏟 Sports market pick · 2026-10-24

Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick: Mavericks to Win

BUY Mavericks (NBA: SA @ DAL, Sat Oct 24 8 PM ET)

🏟 Tonight59D5 score

NBA: SA @ DAL, Sat Oct 24 8 PM ET

Spurs84%

Mavericks16%

⏱ Tip-offSAS @ DALSat 8:00 PM ET · in 9h 55m

BUYMavericks

Entry16.5¢

Live16.5¢

Today▼ -2.94%

Since pick■ +0.00%

CredConsEdgeR/R

edge +1.8 pts vs DraftKings · source hit 55% · 0 agree · 0 dissent

🪙 Coin flipfair price, no edge on the books Polymarket is within 2 pts of DraftKings' no-vig line (+1.8 pts), so the price is fair: a coin flip at the market's own odds, with no edge on the books. Our settled coin flip picks: 11-8, -0.61% avg.

📒 Books now DAL +425 / SA −575 → no-vig 18.3% vs Polymarket 16.5¢ +1.8 ptsDraftKings via ESPN · Oct 24 10:03 AM ET ↗

Why BUY: Value: DraftKings +400 makes Dallas ~19.2% no-vig at home vs 16.5¢ here, the widest gap on today's board (+2.7 pts).

Polymarket ↗Share Details →

Pick details

Published: 2026-10-24 in that day's edition
Entry: 16.5¢
Status: Open · live
Value verdict: 🪙 Coin flip Polymarket is within 2 pts of DraftKings' no-vig line (+1.8 pts), so the price is fair: a coin flip at the market's own odds, with no edge on the books. Our settled coin flip picks: 11-8, -0.61% avg.
Sportsbook check: DraftKings via ESPN · Oct 24 10:03 AM ET ↗: DAL +425 (19.0% implied), SA −575 (85.2%). The 4.2% vig comes out, so the no-vig fair chance is 18.3%. Polymarket now: 16.5¢, edge +1.8 pts (Polymarket is cheaper than the books). Edge score 14.7/25 = 12.5 + 1.25 × points.
Line at publish: DraftKings · at publish ↗: Mavericks +400 / Spurs −535, no-vig 19.2%.
Source: Polymarket

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Since our pick

When we published on Oct 24, Polymarket priced Mavericks at 16.5¢, a 16.5% implied chance. It's now 16.5¢ (16.5%), unchanged since the pick. Range since the pick: 16.5¢ to 16.5¢.

Source: Polymarket CLOB price history, updated Oct 24, 10:03 AM ET.

Who will win Spurs vs. Mavericks?

The Daily Five's pick is Mavericks to win, bought at 16.5¢ on Polymarket on Oct 24. Why: Value: DraftKings +400 makes Dallas ~19.2% no-vig at home vs 16.5¢ here, the widest gap on today's board (+2.7 pts).

What are the Spurs vs. Mavericks odds now?

When we published on Oct 24, Polymarket priced Mavericks at 16.5¢, a 16.5% implied chance. It's now 16.5¢ (16.5%), unchanged since the pick. Range since the pick: 16.5¢ to 16.5¢.

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Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction & Pick: Mavericks to Win

Pick details

Since our pick

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