🏟 Sports market pick · 2026-10-23

Trail Blazers vs. Kings Prediction & Pick: Kings to Win

BUY Kings (NBA: POR @ SAC, Fri Oct 23 10 PM ET)

🏟 Tonight57D5 score
NBA: POR @ SAC, Fri Oct 23 10 PM ET
Trail Blazers76%
Kings24%
⏱ Tip-offPOR @ SACFri 10:00 PM ET · in 14h 49m
BUYKings$0.2M vol
Entry24.5¢
Live24.5¢
Today▼ -7.55%
Since pick■ +0.00%
CredConsEdgeR/R

edge +2.1 pts vs DraftKings · source hit 59% · 0 agree · 1 dissent

💰 Valuecheaper than the books Polymarket is 2.1 pts under DraftKings' no-vig line (26.6% fair vs 24.5¢). That's the price gap we look for. Our settled value picks: 1-2, -6.10% avg.

📒 Books now SAC +260 / POR −325 → no-vig 26.6% vs Polymarket 24.5¢ +2.1 ptsDraftKings via ESPN · Oct 23 7:09 AM ET ↗

Why BUY: Value: Sacramento slid to 24.5¢ (we bought at 27.5¢ yesterday) while DraftKings +260 still makes it ~26.6% no-vig.

Pick details

Published
2026-10-23 in that day's edition
Entry
24.5¢
Status
Open · live
Value verdict
💰 Value Polymarket is 2.1 pts under DraftKings' no-vig line (26.6% fair vs 24.5¢). That's the price gap we look for. Our settled value picks: 1-2, -6.10% avg.
Sportsbook check
DraftKings via ESPN · Oct 23 7:09 AM ET ↗: SAC +260 (27.8% implied), POR −325 (76.5%). The 4.2% vig comes out, so the no-vig fair chance is 26.6%. Polymarket now: 24.5¢, edge +2.1 pts (Polymarket is cheaper than the books). Edge score 15.2/25 = 12.5 + 1.25 × points.
Line at publish
DraftKings · at publish ↗: Kings +260 / Trail Blazers −325, no-vig 26.6%.
Source
Polymarket

All picks on NBA: POR @ SAC →
Full track record →

Since our pick

When we published on Oct 23, Polymarket priced Kings at 24.5¢, a 24.5% implied chance. It's now 24.5¢ (24.5%), unchanged since the pick. Range since the pick: 24.5¢ to 24.5¢.

entry 24.5¢now 24.5¢Fri 7 AMFri 7 AMFri 7 AMFri 7 AM

Source: Polymarket CLOB price history, updated Oct 23, 7:09 AM ET.

Who will win Trail Blazers vs. Kings?

The Daily Five's pick is Kings to win, bought at 24.5¢ on Polymarket on Oct 23. Why: Value: Sacramento slid to 24.5¢ (we bought at 27.5¢ yesterday) while DraftKings +260 still makes it ~26.6% no-vig.

What are the Trail Blazers vs. Kings odds now?

When we published on Oct 23, Polymarket priced Kings at 24.5¢, a 24.5% implied chance. It's now 24.5¢ (24.5%), unchanged since the pick. Range since the pick: 24.5¢ to 24.5¢.

More Fri 10 PM ET kickoff picks

All picks by day →

Get tonight's best value play + tomorrow's five at 7 AM, free.

Our top-scored value pick for NBA: POR @ SAC is priced under the sportsbooks. The side is in the email.

Know someone who trades or bets? Send them the free signup.Post on XText it