🏟 Sports market pick · 2026-10-21

NHL: PHI @ BUF, Wed Oct 21 7:30 PM ET? Odds & Prediction: BUY Flyers

BUY Flyers (NHL: PHI @ BUF, Wed Oct 21 7:30 PM ET)

🏟 Today63D5 score
NHL: PHI @ BUF, Wed Oct 21 7:30 PM ET
BUYFlyers
Entry35.5¢
Live—
Today—
Since pick⏳ pending
CredConsEdgeR/R

edge +2.3 pts vs DraftKings · source hit 64% · 1 agree · 0 dissent

💰 Valuecheaper than the books Polymarket is 2.3 pts under DraftKings' no-vig line (37.8% fair vs 35.5¢). That's the price gap we look for.

📒 Last line read PHI +154 / BUF −185 → no-vig 37.8% vs Polymarket 35.5¢ +2.3 ptsDraftKings via ESPN · Oct 21 10:14 AM ET ↗

Why BUY: Value: numberFire gives Philadelphia 40.3% and DraftKings +154 is ~37.8% no-vig, both above 35.5¢ here, despite a 2-6-3 start.

Polymarket ↗ShareDetails →

Pick details

Published
2026-10-21 in that day's edition
Entry
35.5¢
Status
Open · live
Value verdict
💰 Value Polymarket is 2.3 pts under DraftKings' no-vig line (37.8% fair vs 35.5¢). That's the price gap we look for.
Sportsbook check
DraftKings via ESPN · Oct 21 10:14 AM ET ↗: PHI +154 (39.4% implied), BUF −185 (64.9%). The 4.3% vig comes out, so the no-vig fair chance is 37.8%. Polymarket now: 35.5¢, edge +2.3 pts (Polymarket is cheaper than the books). Edge score 15.3/25 = 12.5 + 1.25 × points.
Line at publish
DraftKings · at publish ↗: Flyers +154 / the other side −185, no-vig 37.8%.
Source
Polymarket

All picks on NHL: PHI @ BUF →
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Since our pick

When we published on Oct 21, Polymarket priced Flyers at 35.5¢, a 35.5% implied chance.

Source: Polymarket CLOB price history, updated Oct 21, 11:34 AM ET.

NHL: PHI @ BUF, Wed Oct 21 7:30 PM ET?

The Daily Five's pick is BUY Flyers at 35.5¢ on Polymarket (Oct 21). Why: Value: numberFire gives Philadelphia 40.3% and DraftKings +154 is ~37.8% no-vig, both above 35.5¢ here, despite a 2-6-3 start.

How has the Flyers pick moved?

When we published on Oct 21, Polymarket priced Flyers at 35.5¢, a 35.5% implied chance.

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