BUY Seahawks (Week 7 SNF: KC @ SEA, Sun Oct 25 8:20 PM ET)
edge +1 pts vs books · source hit 62% · 2 agree · 0 dissent
Why BUY: Stats Insider's 10,000-sim model gives Seattle 58% at home vs the 5-0 Chiefs; bet365's -138 is ~56% no-vig vs 54.5¢.
When we published on Oct 19, Polymarket priced Seahawks at 54.5¢, a 54.5% implied chance. It's now 54.5¢ (54.5%), unchanged since the pick. Range since the pick: 54.5¢ to 54.5¢.
Source: Polymarket CLOB price history, updated Oct 19, 10:22 AM ET.
The Daily Five's pick is Seahawks to win, bought at 54.5¢ on Polymarket on Oct 19. Why: Stats Insider's 10,000-sim model gives Seattle 58% at home vs the 5-0 Chiefs; bet365's -138 is ~56% no-vig vs 54.5¢.
When we published on Oct 19, Polymarket priced Seahawks at 54.5¢, a 54.5% implied chance. It's now 54.5¢ (54.5%), unchanged since the pick. Range since the pick: 54.5¢ to 54.5¢.
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